The DSR Network

Donald Trump’s ceasefire deal with Iran has now been released, and it confirms what we all expected: He got nothing of any significance. A surprising number of his allies agree. Fox News figures, visibly angry and rattled, are saying the deal “doesn’t feel like a victory,” that “we lost the most,” and that Iran is “better off” than before. Others are already throwing JD Vance under the bus, with one even suggesting the deal is so bad that it let Trump down. We think the story right now is that if anything, the next stage of the negotiations with Iran will be even worse for Trump. We talked to Sina Toossi, an Iran expert at the Center for International Policy. He walks us through the details of the deal, why it falls short of what Barack Obama got, why the criticism from allies creates a tough situation for Trump, and how his failures have created a new geopolitical reality—one that’s worse for America than before. 

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The US has finally released the terms of its deal with Iran. In short, the United States is essentially suing Iran for peace, giving Iran what Iran wants, and getting very little of what the US has said it wanted. Will this deal survive, or are we headed for an even longer period of conflict and negotiation? How does this deal shift the dynamic with countries like Lebanon? Kim Ghattas joins David Rothkopf, Ed Luce, and Rosa Brooks to look at the implications of Trump’s deal.

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We now know the details of Trump’s peace proposal for Iran, and it’s ugly. The Iranians are making out like bandits, getting a dream deal that goes far beyond the JCPOA. Jon Wolfsthal and Joe Cirincione join David Rothkopf to examine this terrible deal and what it means for the future of Iran and the region. 
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On the DSR Daily for Wednesday, we cover the details of the peace agreement with Iran, Trump delaying the nomination of Jay Clayton for intel director, the early results of DC’s mayoral race, and more. 
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Sources tell Axios that U.S. intelligence agencies seriously doubt that Iran will make the concessions on its nuclear program that Donald Trump expects it to once talks on it progress in earnest. The leaks are striking: They reflect badly on Trump’s ceasefire with Iran and his claims that he prevailed on Iran to drop its nuclear ambitions. Tellingly, the sources also report that JD Vance was a vocal proponent of the deal during internal discussions. This strongly suggests Vance is getting shivved: He’s getting set up to bear the blame if the deal goes south. There’s lots of other evidence of this, too: Senator Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally, is vocally describing Vance as the deal’s “architect.” Graham, an Iran hawk, expects Iran to not comply on nukes and clearly wants Vance to get blamed for it. We talked to New Republic contributing editor Virginia Heffernan, a sharp observer of MAGA turmoil. We discuss why Vance is so vulnerable to being shivved on Iran, why this is likely to tarnish his presidential ambitions, and how MAGA will reckon with all this as Trump’s influence wanes. 
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