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Three Buddy Problem

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Three Buddy Problem
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251 episodes

  • Three Buddy Problem

    Lumen's Michael Horka on China's 'Silent Train' Router Hacking

    28/10/2026 | 35 mins.
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    SECURITY CONVERSATIONS: Black Lotus Labs researcher Michael Horka joins the show to discuss Silent Train, a Volt Typhoon framework that spins up four-to-six-hop chains of hijacked SOHO routers in about two minutes and wipes every hop when the day's session ends.

    We discuss how ORB networks differ from botnets, why Silent Train took over after the FBI's KV-botnet takedown, the zero-days hitting control plane software from Versa, N-able and VeloCloud, and the NetFlow and logging moves defenders can make right now.

    TIMESTAMPS:

    0:00 Intros

    0:29 What is an ORB network?

    2:34 Silent Train, an operational framework for Volt Typhoon

    3:30 Why call it Silent Train?

    4:12 Chains that exist for a few hours

    6:47 The hijacked routers in the chain

    8:16 Burning zero-days on a single hop

    9:48 Attribution and the KV-botnet successor

    11:02 Crown jewels and NetFlow visibility

    14:53 Why network monitoring gets skipped

    17:23 Victims in Hawaii, California and Texas

    19:23 Four confirmed zero-days, all patched

    20:47 Control plane software as the target

    26:00 No-brainer defenses: logs and internet exposure

    29:41 Threat hunting, agentic AI and where ORBs go next
  • Three Buddy Problem

    PHP2Shell Meltdown: AI Found It. Who's Going to Patch It?

    24/10/2026 | 1h 52 mins.
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem - Episode 117: This week, we dig into PHP2Shell, the AI-assisted PHP bug that led governments to take websites offline, and the arguments over broken embargoes, who found it first, and the AI doomers taking an "I-told-you-so" victory lap.

    Plus, why patching hasn't kept up with AI bug finding, a failure of SBOMs, Terence Tao on math after AI, the iPhone Duo jailbreak and the eMudhra certificate authority key leak.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade and Ryan Naraine. Costin Raiu is traveling.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Introductory banter

    1:07 Black October's pile of critical bugs

    2:34 PHP2Shell and the AI victory lap

    8:28 Twenty years of PHP technical debt

    16:54 Wiz, Gemini 4 Argon and the credit fight

    21:01 Chainguard breaks the embargo

    28:42 The doomers' warnings and the patching gap

    39:32 Is this an SBOM problem?

    55:33 Inside the PHP Foundation's post-mortem

    1:03:13 Are bugs sparse or dense?

    1:11:24 Should frontier labs fix coding?

    1:20:14 Vibe coding and math's industrial era

    1:27:26 Who pays to maintain open source?

    1:44:59 iPhone Duo hacked already, eMudhra and the news
  • Three Buddy Problem

    Who's Hacking Supermarket Fridges in France?

    18/10/2026 | 3h 26 mins.
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem - Episode 116: This week, the buddies dig into a mystery hack that cooked French supermarket fridges, cyberattacks against food supply networks, and why this smells like nation-state sabotage in Europe?

    Plus, a fresh Ivanti zero-day chain, Anthropic's self-replicating IoT research and defender-hostile guardrails, Citizen Lab's AdFection spyware-by-ads exposé, Calif's iPhone exploit drops at Hexacon, Grok's surprising enterprise adoption, and spy chips stuffed inside Ledger wallets.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Introductory banter

    1:35 Virus Bulletin 2026 in Seville

    6:13 Conference roundup: State of Statecraft, Countermeasure, RE//verse

    10:21 French supermarket fridges hacked

    22:53 Hacking food supply and the attribution question

    33:23 Who patches the fridge?

    45:58 Ivanti Connect Secure zero-day chain

    53:00 When an AI agent deletes your databases

    1:04:34 NCSC edge-device forensics guidance

    1:28:06 Anthropic's self-replicating IoT research

    1:52:17 Why guardrails lock out defenders

    2:04:57 Grok's enterprise play and agent sprawl

    2:16:26 Citizen Lab exposes AdFection spyware via ads

    2:57:24 Calif burns iPhone exploits at Hexacon

    3:06:55 Ledger wallet implants and the grain of rice
  • Three Buddy Problem

    Katie Moussouris on AI-as-malware, the monitoring gap, and an NTSB for AI

    12/10/2026 | 1h 5 mins.
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem x Offensive AI Con: Luta Security chief Katie Moussouris makes the case for an NTSB-style board for AI incidents, with subpoena power and full-time investigators, after OpenAI's DNS tunneling escape and the 52 days it took to notice a model had wandered into Australian government systems.

    Along the way, we chat about her work on the Cyber Safety Review Board (CSRB), AI model refusals that leave defenders stuck, and why she still bets on hackers to bend this technology their way.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Katie Moussouris.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Intros at Offensive AI Con

    1:00 OpenAI's DNS tunneling incident and slow monitoring

    4:36 Treating AI like malware in a sandbox

    9:01 The business model is the misalignment

    13:37 Log4j, SBOMs and an NTSB for AI

    18:00 Trading liability protection for honest disclosure

    22:13 Accountability and "once you become aware"

    26:18 The Australia notification timeline

    28:19 A blank-check administration and the Anthropic phaseout

    34:35 Powerful models in the right hands

    38:42 Kill switch bills and regulatory capture

    42:36 EU fines as a tariff on American tech

    48:03 Reasons for optimism

    54:13 Bring back "information security"

    1:01:57 Katie's last word
  • Three Buddy Problem

    NCSC's Ollie Whitehouse: 'The Biggest Correction of Technical Debt Ever'

    12/10/2026 | 54 mins.
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem x Offensive AI Con: Ollie Whitehouse, CTO of the UK's National Cyber Security Centre, joins us to explain how Britain is preparing for an AI-driven patch wave and why the NCSC is pressing edge-device vendors to finally ship real telemetry.

    Plus, we dig into rogue AI agents wandering into a Five Eyes network, along with his forecast that small, capable models could revive self-spreading worms around 2030, all part of what he calls the biggest forced correction of technical debt the industry will ever see.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Ollie Whitehouse.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Live from Offensive AI Con: meet Ollie Whitehouse

    2:46 Why the NCSC is a model for the US

    6:48 What a "national technical authority" does

    7:49 The Huawei analysis and the push for passkeys

    10:50 Independent AI model testing

    13:12 Open-weight vs. closed models and AI sovereignty

    19:02 Capability density and AI worms by 2030

    23:09 Robotics security and lessons from Japan

    26:49 Preparing for the patch wave

    31:06 Architecture fixes: OT, cross domain, privileged access

    32:28 Telecoms security and Salt Typhoon

    38:59 Minimum telemetry standards for edge devices

    41:55 Market incentives and the EU Cyber Resilience Act

    46:05 Rogue agents and the forced correction of technical debt
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About Three Buddy Problem
The Three Buddy Problem is a popular Security Conversations podcast that goes beyond industry talking points to discuss what others won’t -- nation-state malware, attribution, cyberwar, ethics, privacy, and the messy realities of securing computers and corporate networks. Hosted by three veteran security pros -- journalist Ryan Naraine and malware paleontologists Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade -- the weekly show attracts a highly engaged audience of security researchers, corporate defenders, CISOs, and policymakers. Connect with Ryan on Twitter (Open DMs).
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