Finding MH370

It’s December 7, 2025, and Armada 86 05 has set sail from Benoa Port on the island of Bali, Indonesia. After spending a brief period conducting sea trials, it is now making a beeline for the area where it left off searching the seabed in March. If it maintains its current speed, it should arrive several days before the date previously given by the Malaysian government as the start of the new phase. In today’s episode, we discuss the capabilities as well as the limitation of the technology that Ocean Infinity will deploy once it arrives. Get full access to Finding MH370 at www.deepdivemh370.com/subscribe

It’s December 3, 2025, and the Malaysia Government has just announced that the private underwater survey company Ocean Infinity will officially recommence the seabed search for MH370 in three weeks’ time. Today, we’re going to talk about why they’re doing it now, where they’ll look, and whether they’re likely to succeed. Get full access to Finding MH370 at www.deepdivemh370.com/subscribe

Ocean Infinity’s state-of-the-art offshore support vessel, Armada 86 05, is currently on duty in the Philippines, about halfway through what is expected to be a two-week expedition to search the San Bernardino Strait for historical shipwrecks. Once it’s done, it will need to resupply, and then it will likely head to the southern Indian Ocean to once more take up the seabed scan that one of its sister vessels, Armada 78 06, carried out for several weeks in March. In today’s episode, we look at where I think it will go first, and I dive into the mathematics of probability to explain why Ocean Infinity likely thinks that their chances of success are quite high — and why they might have miscalculated. Get full access to Finding MH370 at www.deepdivemh370.com/subscribe

Last December, the Malaysian government announced that the American ocean survey and salvage company Ocean Infinity would once again take up a search of the Indian Ocean seabed in hopes of finding the missing Malaysian airliner, MH370. The company had searched a considerable area of the ocean floor in 2018, but had thrown in the towel after finding nothing. This time around, a single custom-built ocean exploration vessel arrived in the search area in late February, 2025, scanned about 5,000 square kilometers, and then left at the end of March. The company made no official statement about when it would be back, but the Malaysian government said it would be at the end of the year, and reputable sources close to Ocean Infinity said that it aimed to return in November. So we’re all on tenterhooks, waiting to see what will happen and when. In today’s episode, I reveal the latest insights from Kevin Rupp, who has an excellent track record for correctly reporting on what the company is about to do. Get full access to Finding MH370 at www.deepdivemh370.com/subscribe

Two episodes ago, I revealed that with the help of two volunteers on the island of Zanzibar I had been able to retrieve the first data showing how Lepas anatifera barnacles grow out on the open sea in the western Indian Ocean, where debris from MH370 was collected. In order to understand what this could tell us about the debris’ origin, I needed to measure the barnacles — more than 700 of them! — and perform a rudimentary statistical analysis. Today I present the results of that analysis. I think they go a long way towards resolving the myster of the missing plane. Get full access to Finding MH370 at www.deepdivemh370.com/subscribe