Monday 4th August July 2025NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NABThere were sharp market moves on Friday after all the shenanigans in the US. NAB’s Ray Attrill tells us how markets responded to a far weaker than expected non-farm payrolls report, that included two substantial reductions in the numbers for the prior two months. Market repriced expectations for a cut next month. That would seem to give the President what he wanted, but nonetheless he sacked the head of the statistical agency collecting the data. Markets responded to that news. Then one of the Fed board, Adriana Kugler, resigned, effective the end of this week, giving the President the chance to put his own man or woman onto the board. Quite a day! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Weekend Edition: NZ Super Fund – time on their side
Friday 2nd August 2025Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here.NZ Super Fund is New Zealand’s sovereign wealth fund (SWF), that has earned a reputation for delivering the strongest returns of any SWF globally. So what’s their secret and how do they perform against private funds?Brad Dunstan, their Chief Investment Officer, says the advantage of time on their side. They don’t have to meet demands for payouts, so they have the luxury of a longer-term view. He also says their Total Portfolio Approach is part of their success and explains to Phil how that works.But does success in the past guarantee success in the future? How is Brad and the team at NZ Super Fund navigating the uncertainties of Trump’s America, the promises of new technologies and the role of Europe in the world order? And how important is New Zealand itself to their investment mix? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Tariff delays already, ahead of today's deadline.
Friday 1st August July 2025NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NABYesterday the US President warned there will be no delays on tariffs ahead of the August 1 deadline. Hours later he announced a 90-day delay for Mexico but warned that Canada’s support for Palestine would make a deal difficult. NABs Ken Crompton talks about how non—trade criteria are creeping into the US tariff regime, and it remains uncertain who will get hit with what today. The other big news today is non-farm payrolls tonight, and in earnings Amazon beat revenue forecasts put posted a weaker outlook for Q3, whilst Apple gave a healthier set of figures. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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‘No preset course’ says Powell, as Fed waits longer
Thursday31st July 2025NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NABIf anything, the Fed was sounding slightly hawkish at today’s meeting, says NAB’s Tapas Strickland, erven though two dissenters voted for a rate cut. The fear and uncertainty around the inflationary impacts of tariffs is part of the problem, and markets are now seeing a September cut as more or less each way bet. A cut in the range of copper products that will be tariffed from tomorrow drove a sharp fall in copper prices today, but a reminder from the President that tomorrow is deadline today and there will be no extensions (except for those already agreed of course). Meanwhile, strong earnings from Meta and Microsoft after the US close. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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17:51
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Oil worries, job slowdown and mega MAGA borrowing requirement
Wednesday 30th July 2025NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NABOil is the big mover overnight as President Trump confirms Russia has just 10 days to end the war before he imposes secondary tariffs. US equities have fallen. Meanwhile, it seems likely that China will have longer to reach an agreement. Meanwhile, US consumer confidence is rising, although, as NAB’s Sally Auld points out, the Conference Board report also highlighted growing concerns about the labour market. And the Treasury has said their Q3 borrowing requirement is an eye watering $1 trillion. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Start your day with the NAB Morning Call for the latest overnight key economic and market information straight from our team of expert market economists and strategists. This includes perspective on overnight news and market price action and the forces shaping movements in Australian and global markets in the days ahead. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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