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NAB Morning Call

Phil Dobbie
NAB Morning Call
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1642 episodes

  • NAB Morning Call

    US jobs soft, but yields are still rising

    05/10/2026 | 15 mins.
    Tuesday 6th October 2026

    NAB Markets Research Disclaimer
    Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB

    US equity markets kicked off the week with solid gains as the tech sector pushed higher, but fixed income markets continued to grapple with elevated yields as US 10-year Treasuries pushed up to 5.34%. Following a long weekend in parts of Australia, Phil Dobbie and NAB's Taylor Nugent unpack a busy start to October, analysing Friday's softer-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls print (+28k) and its impact on Fed rate expectations. Across the Atlantic, European markets are dealing with fresh political and fiscal strain, with French bond yields under pressure amid budget debates and Spain announcing a snap election. Meanwhile, crude oil remains volatile above $100/bbl despite G7 inventory releases and Middle East shipping developments.
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  • NAB Morning Call

    Weekend Edition: A Brighter Take On AI

    02/10/2026 | 32 mins.
    Friday 25th September 2026

    Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here.

    As artificial intelligence rapidly transforms from a speculative tech trend into the primary driver of global market returns, how are institutional investors actually positioning their capital for the road ahead? This Phil Dobbie sits down with Damien Webb, Chief Investment Officer for Brighter Super, fresh off an insightful trip to Silicon Valley meeting with frontier AI labs, quantum computing founders, and top academic minds.

    Damien shares why his boots-on-the-ground experience left him overwhelmingly optimistic about the tech supercycle—and why superannuation funds can't afford to sit on the sidelines. From the soaring commodity demand for copper and energy infrastructure to revolutionary medical breakthroughs in GLP-1 drugs and cancer treatments, how do institutional investors balance high-valuation risks against transformative upside? Is the ongoing surge in global bond yields the ultimate reality check for tech balance sheets? Tune in for a fascinating dive into portfolio construction, private equity opportunities, and what riding in an autonomous Waymo car reveals about our economic future!
    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
  • NAB Morning Call

    "Sacré-Cœur!

    01/10/2026 | 16 mins.
    Friday 2nd October 2026

    NAB Markets Research Disclaimer
    Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB

    France's escalating budget woes and fiscal watchdog criticism have sent sovereign bond markets into a tizzy, causing French-German yield spreads to widen sharply. On today's edition of the NAB Morning Call, Phil Dobbie and NAB's Ken Crompton break down these mixed global signals—from France's budget strain to rising US manufacturing prices and mortgage rates hitting 7.28%. Despite lower US Treasury yields following a brief flight to quality, the US dollar remains firm while crude oil rebounds above $102. The pair also examine Australia’s Financial Stability Review, falling job vacancies, and what today's key US Non-Farm Payrolls report means for upcoming Fed rate expectations.
    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
  • NAB Morning Call

    It's All About Inflation

    30/09/2026 | 14 mins.
    Thursday 1st October 2026

    NAB Markets Research Disclaimer
    Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB

    Global financial markets are navigating a sharp divergence between the US and Europe, driven entirely by conflicting inflation trends. On today’s edition of the NAB Morning Call, Phil Dobbie speaks with NAB’s Skye Masters to unpack why resilient US economic data, cooler-than-expected Core PCE prints, and upward GDP revisions are supporting Wall Street, even as 10-year Treasury yields push toward 5.30%. In contrast, hot European inflation prints across Germany and France are weighing on sentiment and lifting ECB rate hike expectations. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar has slipped below 69.5 US cents following softer-than-forecast domestic inflation data, which has led markets to tone down expectations for back-to-back RBA rate hikes.
    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
  • NAB Morning Call

    RBA back on the narrow path

    29/09/2026 | 16 mins.
    Wednesday 30th September 2026

    NAB Markets Research Disclaimer
    Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB

    Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s unanimous decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%, market attention has shifted to Governor Michele Bullock’s post-meeting press conference. NAB's Taylor Nugent says her commentary hinted that the RBA may be returning to its "narrow path" balancing inflation control against labour market conditions, softening some of the hawkish expectations for follow-up hikes. Meanwhile, global bond yields continue their upward trend, pushing 30-year US Treasuries to multi-decade highs, as markets digest a softer US JOLTS job openings report, declining US consumer confidence, and European inflation updates. Looking ahead, today brings Australia's August CPI data alongside the US PCE inflation report and Chinese PMI reads.
    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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About NAB Morning Call
Start your day with the NAB Morning Call for the latest overnight key economic and market information straight from our team of expert market economists and strategists. This includes perspective on overnight news and market price action and the forces shaping movements in Australian and global markets in the days ahead. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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