TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

France's debt problem, Europe moving against Chinese exports, Iran under pressure, and the AI and quantum FUD hitting Bitcoin. Marty and John Arnold go through the week.

🔗 https://bitcoinproducts.com

In this episode:

France's fiscal situation and why short-term debt issuance is spreading

Europe pushes back on Chinese exports while the US pulls it closer

Iran's economy under sanctions and escalation risk after the Houthi strike

The Donroe Doctrine: Greenland, Iceland and Brazil's election

Treasury issuance, buybacks and the narrative around US economic data

OpenAI revenue numbers, AI math proofs and the quantum FUD aimed at Bitcoin

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 - Touching grass after a weekend of hardware wallet and AI news

00:01:00 - France's debt cycle and the Macron problem

00:02:30 - Short-term issuance and yields across Europe

00:04:58 - Europe moves to block Chinese exports

00:08:17 - Taiwan Strait naval exercises and the US-China meeting

00:09:48 - Iran's economy and the oil minister's exit

00:11:34 - Houthi strike on Saudi airport and escalation risk

00:13:41 - The Donroe Doctrine and the National Security Strategy

00:14:13 - Iceland, Greenland and Brazil's Bolsonaro surge

00:17:07 - US economic data and Treasury issuance

00:20:12 - Bessent's buybacks and the long end of the curve

00:21:26 - OpenAI's revenue run rate and the Anthropic comparison

00:23:39 - AI math proofs and the pace of model progress

00:26:36 - Quantum FUD, Justin Drake and Yehuda Lindell on elliptic curves

00:30:00 - Why Bitcoin researchers are working on new signature schemes

00:33:41 - Wrap-up and next week

SUBSCRIBE

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FOLLOW US

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FOLLOW MARTY

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› Timestamp: https://www.ten31timestamp.com/› John Arnold: https://x.com/JohnArnoldTen31› Ten31: https://ten31.xyz

TFTC #MartyBent #JohnArnold #Bitcoin #QuantumComputing #AI

Tom Luongo returns to break down why the Iran conflict was never really about Iran. Tom argues the war is a lever to dismantle the Eurodollar system and the old colonial powers of Europe, from Lloyd's of London pulling shipping insurance to the yen carry trade unwinding. We cover Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks, the bear flattener, France's bond market stress, Mark Carney and Canada, Judy Shelton at Treasury, the midterms, the dollar index breakout, and a provocative reframe of the claim that DARPA created Bitcoin.

Tom on X: https://x.com/TFL1728

Tom's Website: https://tomluongo.me/

The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE

STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/

Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/

Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT

Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/

Shoutout to our sponsors:

Block:

- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.

- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.

- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.

Aven

https://www.aven.com/bitcoin

CrowdHealth

https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc

Simple Mining

https://www.simplemining.io/tftc

Salt of the Earth:

https://drinksote.com/tftc

Join the TFTC Movement:

Main YT Channel

https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos

Clips YT Channel

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ

Website

https://tftc.io/

Newsletter

tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Twitter

https://twitter.com/tftc21

Instagram

https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/

Nostr

https://primal.net/tftc

Follow Marty Bent:

Twitter

https://twitter.com/martybent

Nostr

https://primal.net/martybent

Newsletter

https://tftc.io/martys-bent/

Podcast

https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/

Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures

Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner

Susan Kokinda of Promethean Action returns to check in on the Trump economic agenda ten months after her last visit. She breaks down manufacturing job growth, tariffs, and reindustrialization heading into the midterms, plus the Iran blockade and Treasury's economic pressure campaign, the US-China relationship, and growing desperation in Europe and Canada. She also covers Judy Shelton's Treasury appointment, sound money and gold standard debates, stablecoin rulemaking, and what national banking looks like in the 21st century.

Susan on X: https://x.com/sjkokinda

Susan’s Substack: https://substack.com/@susankokinda1

Promethean Action: https://www.prometheanaction.com/

Promethean Updates: https://www.youtube.com/@PrometheanAction

The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE

STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/

Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/

Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT

Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/

Shoutout to our sponsors:

Block:

Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.

Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.

Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.

Aven

https://www.aven.com/bitcoin

CrowdHealth

https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc

Simple Mining

https://www.simplemining.io/tftc

Salt of the Earth:

https://drinksote.com/tftc

Join the TFTC Movement:

Main YT Channel

https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos

Clips YT Channel

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ

Website

https://tftc.io/

Newsletter

tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Twitter

https://twitter.com/tftc21

Instagram

https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/

Nostr

https://primal.net/tftc

Follow Marty Bent:

Twitter

https://twitter.com/martybent

Nostr

https://primal.net/martybent

Newsletter

https://tftc.io/martys-bent/

Podcast

https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/

Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures

Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner

Oil flows through the Middle East are back near pre-war levels, but 10 year yields and the MOVE index are telling a different story.

🔗 https://bitcoinproducts.com

In this episode:

Why Middle East crude flows are back to pre-war levels while diesel and refined products still lag

What the US and China statement on Iran and Hormuz tolls signals

How the push for a China-free rare earth supply chain is going

Why the MOVE index and French bond spreads are blowing out

How stablecoins and Treasury bills could change what a dollar is

Why Trump's comments on inflation and the debt point toward Bitcoin

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 - Back from the Ten31 portfolio retreat

00:00:47 - Middle East crude flows return to pre-war levels

00:03:19 - Diesel and refined products still lagging

00:04:25 - Tanker costs and Hormuz workarounds

00:07:06 - US and China statement on Iran and Hormuz tolls

00:10:41 - Rare earths and the China-free supply chain

00:12:31 - Jamie Dimon calls for industrial policy

00:13:32 - 10 year yield and the MOVE index breakout

00:17:23 - Weak Treasury auctions and Judy Shelton

00:18:08 - France and Germany bond spread blowing out

00:22:08 - White House and the frontier AI labs

00:24:10 - Bessent, Shelton, and the Fed chair picks

00:26:27 - Trump says inflation could pay down the debt

00:27:20 - Stablecoins and demand for short term Treasuries

00:29:44 - How stablecoins could redefine the dollar

00:33:00 - Euro weakness and the Bitcoin to gold ratio

SUBSCRIBE

› Newsletter (free): https://tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/› YouTube: https://youtube.com/@TFTC?sub_confirmation=1

FOLLOW US

› X: https://x.com/tftc21› Nostr: https://primal.net/tftc

FOLLOW MARTY

› X: https://x.com/MartyBent

› Timestamp: https://www.ten31timestamp.com/› John Arnold: https://x.com/JohnArnoldTen31› Ten31: https://ten31.xyz

TFTC #MartyBent #Bitcoin #Treasuries #Stablecoins

Jeremy Ryan Slate, host of the Athenian Book Club, traces how Roman emperors debased the denarius from 95% silver to nearly nothing to fund legions and donatives. Marty Bent and Jeremy cover the Third Century Crisis, Diocletian's price controls, Constantine's gold solidus, and why sound money kept the Byzantine Empire stable for centuries. They draw parallels to Federal Reserve money printing, quantitative easing, the Cantillon effect, inflation, and why Bitcoin may offer a modern fix for broken money.

Jeremy on X: https://x.com/JeremyRyanSlate

Jeremy’s website: https://jeremyryanslate.com/

The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE

STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/

Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/

Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT

Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/

Shoutout to our sponsors:

Block:

Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.

Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.

Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.

Aven

https://www.aven.com/bitcoin

CrowdHealth

https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc

Simple Mining

https://www.simplemining.io/tftc

Salt of the Earth:

https://drinksote.com/tftc

Join the TFTC Movement:

Main YT Channel

https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos

Clips YT Channel

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ

Website

https://tftc.io/

Newsletter

tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Twitter

https://twitter.com/tftc21

Instagram

https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/

Nostr

https://primal.net/tftc

Follow Marty Bent:

Twitter

https://twitter.com/martybent

Nostr

https://primal.net/martybent

Newsletter

https://tftc.io/martys-bent/

Podcast

https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/

Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures

Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner