Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal

River estimates only 825,000 people currently own at least one Bitcoin, representing roughly 1 in every 10,000 people on Earth. An estimated 99.6% of people own less than 0.01 BTC.
In episode 2339, JV breaks down the extraordinary scarcity behind those numbers, including an estimated 3 to 4 million permanently lost Bitcoin, roughly 84% of circulating supply controlled by long-term holders, approximately 1.27 million BTC held by public companies and another roughly 1.22 million BTC held by U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs.
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Bitcoin has exploded 27% in less than a week, while Michael Saylor's Strategy experienced an extraordinary roughly $14 billion reversal, moving from a $9.5 billion unrealized Bitcoin loss to a $4.7 billion unrealized profit in less than one week.
In episode 2338, JV breaks down Wells Fargo's reported $1 billion-plus Bitcoin exposure, institutional accumulation, Bitcoin's third-best August ever, and the mathematics behind a potential $7 million Bitcoin. With global real estate valued around $379.7 trillion, global equities above $150 trillion, global bonds around $140 trillion and gold above $30 trillion, a $7 million Bitcoin would represent roughly $147 trillion across Bitcoin's maximum 21 million supply.
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Bitcoin surged 23.56% in one week, its largest weekly candle since March 2023, as institutional demand returned and Bitcoin ETFs recorded roughly $1.9 billion in weekly inflows. At the same time, the U.S. Treasury's massive cash balance is creating the possibility of up to $1 trillion in additional financial-system liquidity through bond buybacks.
In episode 2337, JV breaks down the liquidity thesis behind a potential $9 million Bitcoin, Strive's latest 1,110 BTC acquisition, Strategy's control of roughly 4% of Bitcoin's maximum supply, and why expanding fiat liquidity colliding with fixed Bitcoin supply creates the conditions for an enormous repricing.
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President Trump says the United States has discussed acquiring "sizable" amounts of Bitcoin as the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and proposed 1 million BTC acquisition target return to the spotlight. America already holds roughly 330,000 Bitcoin acquired through confiscation, but active open-market accumulation would create an entirely different supply dynamic.
In episode 2336, JV breaks down Bitcoin's available-float problem, long-term U.S. holdings, growing institutional demand and the nation-state game theory that emerges when governments begin competing for an absolutely scarce asset.
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Bitcoin just delivered its most violent breakout of the year, exploding out of the $60,000s and nearly reaching $80,000. In episode 2335, JV breaks down Michael Saylor's long-term Bitcoin framework, including his $3 million bear case, $13 million base case and $49 million bull case.
Also covered are Wall Street Bitcoin ETFs posting their strongest weekly inflows in more than 300 days, Ray Dalio's debt crisis warning and Bitcoin allocation comments, Arthur Hayes' $500,000 Bitcoin outlook under yield curve control, Cathie Wood's $1.5 million bull case, Samson Mow's latest Bitcoin thesis, and what the dramatic return of bullish momentum could mean for Bitcoin's next move.
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