ChinaTalk

Jordan Schneider
ChinaTalk
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524 episodes

  • ChinaTalk

    WarTalk: No Ammo for Taiwan, Polymarket, Bye Phelan, Will Driscoll Go The Distance?

    24/04/2026 | 58 mins.
    The Pentagon is leaking to the press that America doesn't have the missiles to win a war over Taiwan — and the Iran war is the reason why. Meanwhile, a Special Forces master sergeant is looking at federal charges for a $400,000 Polymarket bet on the Maduro regime, and SecNav John Phelan spent an hour sitting in the West Wing lobby waiting to get fired.

    To discuss, WarTalk is joined by Bryan Clark (former submariner, Hudson Institute), Justin Mc (former Green Beret, now in defense tech), Eric Robinson (former OSC NCT and 101st Airborne, now a lawyer), and Tony Stark of breaking beijing.

    We discuss…


    Why the Pentagon is leaking that the U.S. can't win a war over Taiwan — and what it means when the primes, INDOPACOM, and the deputy all scatter-shot the same message through the Washington Post


    The case for scrapping the legacy munitions portfolio — burning LRASMs on the Iranian Navy, the GPS-jamming Excalibur problem, and why locking in seven-year buys of Cold War weapons sets us up for the next round of failures


    A Special Forces master sergeant, $400,000, and the Polymarket Maduro bet — plus the hairdryer-next-to-a-thermometer scam at Charles de Gaulle, and why financial libertinism is "smoking in daycares"


    The firing of SecNav John Phelan — the waffle-bar bundler, the Golden Fleet fantasy, and how Stephen Feinberg captured the submarine program office and knifed his own Navy secretary


    A preview of the last two years of Trump II — DeSantis, Cotton, Chairman Rogers, and whether Congress flipping means more foreign adventurism or just acting secretaries all the way down

    Song, "Phelan on the couch when it happened" https://suno.com/s/C0LmG53KdrT3evfe
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  • ChinaTalk

    Sen. Chris Murphy on Corruption, China and AI

    23/04/2026 | 25 mins.
    outtro music: Pardon Pen! https://suno.com/s/2tXSJ7uJFA7k1pUC
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  • ChinaTalk

    Quantum 101

    20/04/2026 | 1h 13 mins.
    What exactly is quantum computing? Why does it matter, and what would it actually mean to “win” the quantum race? Zach Yerushalmi, CEO of Elevate Quantum, a Mountain West–based public-private consortium advancing the U.S. quantum ecosystem, and Chris Miller join the podcast to discuss.

    Our conversation covers…


    What Quantum Computing Actually Is — A primer on qubits, superposition, and why quantum computers aren’t “faster classical machines” but fundamentally different systems designed to simulate nature and solve specific classes of problems.


    Why Quantum Matters Now — Breakthroughs in error correction and hardware have shifted quantum from theory to an engineering race, with major implications for drug discovery, materials science, artificial intelligence, and cybersecurity.


    The Economic and National Security Stakes — Quantum’s potential impact on cryptography, advanced manufacturing, biotech, and defense makes it a strategic technology with an extremely small margin for error in global competition.


    From Science Project to Industrial Policy Challenge — The bottleneck is no longer just physics but scaling. Talent pipelines, fabrication capacity, supply chains, and the kinds of public-private partnerships needed to move from lab prototypes to deployable systems.


    What Winning Looks Like — Leadership isn’t just building the first powerful machine. It’s shaping standards, securing supply chains, protecting encryption, diffusing capabilities across industry, and sustaining innovation in a tight U.S.–China technological race.

    Plus, the encryption stakes, the engineering bottlenecks, the race with China — and a reading list and job resources for those interested in the field.

    Thanks to the Hudson Institute for sponsoring this episode.

    Zach’s Quantum Technology Reading List:


    Quantum Computing Fundamentals: But What Is Quantum Computing? by 3Blue1Brown


    Quantum Computing Overview: The Map of Quantum Computing by Domain of Science


    Quantum Sensing: Atomic Advantage: Accelerating U.S. Quantum Sensing for Next-Generation PNT by CNAS


    The Quantum-Classical Divide: Are the Mysteries of Quantum Mechanics Beginning to Dissolve? by Philip Ball, Quanta Magazine (February 2026)


    Systems Engineering Bottlenecks: Computer Science Challenges in Quantum Computing: Early Fault-Tolerance and Beyond by Jens Palsberg et al., IEEE Quantum Week (2025)

    Further reading if curious:


    When We Cease to Understand the World by Benjamín Labatut (2021)


    Introduction to Special Issue on the Early History of Nuclear Fusion by M. B. Chadwick and B. Cameron Reed, Fusion Science and Technology (2024)

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  • ChinaTalk

    WarTalk: Is Mythos a Cyber Nuke? + The Blockade That Wasn't

    17/04/2026 | 1h 2 mins.
    We discuss…


    Why Mythos is a Dr. Strangelove moment — and whether the better analogy is a nuke or a pandemic


    Who gets the keys: Ukraine vs. South Korea vs. Japan vs. the Five Eyes, and why the Defense Production Act now looks likelier than the supply-chain-risk designation


    The death of the patch model — and the return of air-gapped networks, mesh comms, and couriers shuttling classified work in person


    Steve Feinberg's half-trillion-dollar portfolio, the rise of direct-reporting program managers, and why a Senate-confirmed deputy can now make American industry rise and fall

    Hey God It's Dario song: https://suno.com/s/2d0u5eLbSyzDeDY3
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  • ChinaTalk

    The Think Tank New Breed (IFP + FAI)

    16/04/2026 | 1h 8 mins.
    Caleb Watney (Institute for Progress) and Max Bodach (Foundation for American Innovation) on what the new breed of DC think tanks does differently and why the old model is broken.

    We discuss:

    Why "counterfactual policy impact" matters more than white papers and what's wrong with project-based funding

    Cross-partisanship vs. picking sides: IFP pulls the rope sideways, FAI builds a big tent on the right

    Vertical integration over specialization — the person who wrote the brief should be the one selling it on the Hill

    Whether AI eats the think tank or just the parts that weren't working anyway

    Timestamps

    00:38 — Applied think tank vs. white paper mill

    16:56 — Partisanship: FAI's conservative tent vs. IFP's cross-partisan design

    37:09 — Why researchers should do their own comms and outreach

    50:26 — Betting on young talent as policy entrepreneurs

    57:56 — Will AI eat the think tank?

    song: https://suno.com/s/I244K1rIpPdB6lO9

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About ChinaTalk

Conversations exploring China, technology, and US-China relations. Guests include a wide range of analysts, policymakers, and academics. Hosted by Jordan Schneider. Check out the newsletter at https://www.chinatalk.media/
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