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The Real Eisman Playbook

Steve Eisman
The Real Eisman Playbook
Latest episode

135 episodes

  • The Real Eisman Playbook

    Why Private Equity's Software Bet Is Going to Zero | The Weekly Wrap

    02/10/2026 | 27 mins.
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/

    On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman covers a dramatic week for FICO, in which its decades-long mortgage monopoly effectively broke. Steve then delivers a deep dive into private equity's overexposure to software buyouts, why the SAASpocalypse has cut valuations by 50% or more, and why the refinancing wall coming in 2027 will likely wipe out equity in many of these deals. He closes with three mailbag questions covering oil-driven inflation, AI regulation, and how the Moody's securitization database gave him the confidence to short subprime paper back in 2006.

    00:00 - Intro

    01:59 - Iran War Updates

    02:28 - More Negative News For FICO

    04:20 - Analysis of Private Equity & Private Credit's Exposure to Software

    18:14 - Mailbag: Raising Rates

    19:48 - Mailbag: AI Regulation

    20:43 - Mailbag: MBS

    22:51 - Outro

    Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU
    Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I

    Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1

    Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook:
    🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook
    → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place.

    Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.
    Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service.

    Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman
    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
  • The Real Eisman Playbook

    What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77

    28/09/2026 | 46 mins.
    On episode 77 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Sam Badri, Head of Investor Relations at Cisco, for an inside look at what the AI boom actually looks like from within a major technology company. Sam explains why he believes we are still very early in AI adoption, with roughly 90% of users stuck at the basic prompt stage and very few having progressed to skills files or AI agents.

    00:00 - Intro & Sam’s Background

    03:35 - What Cisco Does

    05:58 - Cisco Revenue Growth & What’s Changed

    12:40 - How AI Factors In

    14:18 - Cisco vs Arista

    16:04 - The Negativity Surrounding the AI Story

    29:16 - Data Center Pushback

    34:24 - What Sam Brought to Cisco

    36:43 - Last Word on Cisco & the Sector

    40:22 - Outro

    Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1

    Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook:
    🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook
    → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place.

    Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

    Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service.

    Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman
    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
  • The Real Eisman Playbook

    The Enron-Era Tricks Are Back in AI: How These Companies Are Hiding Their Debt | The Weekly Wrap

    25/09/2026 | 28 mins.
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/

    On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman discusses why the off-balance sheet financing techniques that caused Enron's collapse and amplified the GFC are back in full force in the AI world. He also covers the Ten Year yield breaching 5.1%, Paramount being cleared for takeoff with WB, troubling news from Oracle & Blue Owl, Meta's Muse agentic AI agent, and much more.

    00:00 - Intro

    02:42 - War in Iran, Oil Prices, & Interest Rates

    03:43 - Troubling News From Oracle & Blue Owl

    04:29 - Paramount Cleared For Take Off

    05:40 - Softbank Junk Borrowing

    06:23 - AI Circular Financing

    20:00 - Meta's Muse

    22:46 - Mailbag: Shorting Against the Box

    24:30 - Outro

    Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU

    Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I

    Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1

    Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook:
    🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook
    → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place.

    Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

    Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service.

    Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman
    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
  • The Real Eisman Playbook

    Stock Picking in Difficult Times with George Noble | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 76

    21/09/2026 | 51 mins.
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/

    On episode 76 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with George Noble, former portfolio manager at Fidelity and now a Substack newsletter writer, for a wide-ranging conversation covering Scott Bessent's attempt to repress interest rates, the yen carry trade, the Tesla/SpaceX struggles, and much more.

    00:00 - Intro

    01:18 - Scott Bessent & Interest Rates

    13:00 - The AI Ecosystem

    21:35 - The Dollar Yen Trade

    30:57 - The Current Investing Environment

    36:33 - Tesla & SpaceX

    46:14 - Outro

    Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1

    Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook:
    🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook
    → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place.

    Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

    Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service.

    Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman
    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
  • The Real Eisman Playbook

    Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

    18/09/2026 | 24 mins.
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/

    On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman explains why the recent extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman are not genuine concerns about superintelligence, but rather a deliberate shell game designed to invite government regulation and create pricing moats. Steve also covers the Fed raising rates 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4%, the Senate blocking the Clarity Act, an update on his FICO short, and answers two mailbags on how individual investors can diversify away from AI exposure without abandoning equities.

    00:00 - Intro

    01:55 - Iran War Updates

    02:14 - Fed Raises Rates

    04:47 - FICO Short Update

    07:08 - Crypto Takes a Hit

    07:53 - The AI Extinction Warnings

    15:36 - Mailbag: P&C Insurance

    19:36 - Mailbag: Growth in Europe

    21:03 - Outro

    Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU
    Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I

    Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1

    Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook:

    🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook

    → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place.

    Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.
    Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service.

    Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman
    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
More Business podcasts
About The Real Eisman Playbook
The Real Eisman Playbook is your front-row seat to the insights, strategies, and perspectives of legendary investor Steve Eisman. Best known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Steve brings his sharp analysis and no-nonsense approach to dissecting the markets, global economy, and investment trends shaping the future. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just curious about how the financial world really works, The Eisman Playbook delivers the knowledge you need to stay ahead. Tune in for expert commentary, candid conversations, and actionable takeaways from one of Wall Street’s most influential minds.

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